Shane Commentary

      

ALL WE NEED NOW IS A TRADE WAR

Mar 22, 2017

    

An editorial in the February 10th edition of The Wall Street Journal lays out the reasons why moderation and diplomacy are required in our future relations with trading partners.

The need to reverse the adverse trade balance with our two NAFTA trading partners and to establish bilateral agreements with China, the UE, Japan and South Korea are self-evident.

  

It is ironic that states carried by President Donald J. Trump have the most too loose from disturbances in trade.  Poultry is ninth on the list in export commodities with respect to proportion of U.S. production at 17 percent with the pork exporting 23 percent of output. 

It is noted that our two NAFTA partners purchased $38 billion in agricultural produce annually.  An aggressive stance against China could invite retaliation and prejudice the $21 billion in U.S. shipments of agricultural products representing almost 15 percent of U.S. exports.

Given the high value of the U.S. Dollar, we are vulnerable to competition from nations with arable land, a suitable climate, relatively low labor costs, mechanization and other advantages.  Exports of broiler parts to Mexico and Canada are critical to maintaining balance in domestic supply and price stability.  The volume of broiler exports over the first eleven months of 2016 amounted to 2.7 million metric tons valued at $2.6 billion.  Mexico was the largest importer of broiler meat during November 2016 of 20 percent of volume and 17 percent of value.

Exports of turkey meat attained 240,000 metric tons valued at $540 million, with the top five importers of broiler parts representing 42 percent of volume.

CHICK-CITE endorses the views of The Wall Street Journal editorial which stated, “President Trump should consider reality before escalating on trade-and betraying the Farm Belt voters who are relying on him to bring growth and opportunity”.